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Here is an article published earlier this spring in Inside Higher Ed with extremely pertinent information for anyone who deals with traditional on-campus student housing.
Based on the research forecast shown below by the National Center for Education Statistics, the number of students estimated to enroll at degree granting institutions is still expected to grow an additional 13% from 2012 to 2022. However, these students will be possibly be from a very different demographic than students who traditionally live in on campus housing – i.e. the 18-24 year old full-time undergraduates in four year institutions who comprise the preponderance of our on-campus housing residents.
As noted, in the next decade the 18-24 year old demographic is estimated to decrease 4% (compared to the 21% increase over the last decade), graduate enrollment will grow more than undergraduate, part-time enrollment will grow more steadily than full-time, and increased distance learning students due to improved technology could also be a factor in who will physically be on our campuses and choosing to live in our campus housing. These changes could profoundly affect our occupancies in our current housing offerings, so the On-Campus Housing profession would be well served to anticipate these changes both in current occupancy management and future renovation/building plans.
The Enrollment Slowdown by Doug Lederman February 28, 2014 WASHINGTON — Nearly three million more people will be enrolled in American colleges and universities in 2022 than were enrolled in 2012, according to Education Department projections released Thursday. That would represent a significant slowdown in enrollment growth over the next decade compared to the last one, but the projection is still aggressive given that the traditional college-age population is expected to decline over the same period. Projected Enrollments in U.S. Degree-Granting Institutions, 2012-2022 (in 000s)
| |
2012
|
2013
|
2016
|
2019
|
2022
|
% Change, 2012-2022
|
| All students |
20,968
|
21,216
|
22,076
|
23,025
|
23,888
|
13.9%
|
| Men |
8,998
|
9,070
|
9,216
|
9,493
|
9,796
|
8.9%
|
| Women |
11,970
|
12,146
|
12,860
|
13,533
|
14,092
|
17.7%
|
| Full time |
13,104
|
13,107
|
13,532
|
14,068
|
14,616
|
11.5%
|
| Part time |
7,953
|
8,109
|
8,544
|
8,957
|
9,273
|
16.6%
|
| Undergraduate |
18,006
|
18,187
|
18,848
|
19,634
|
20,399
|
13.3%
|
| Graduate |
2,962
|
3,029
|
3,228
|
3,392
|
3,489
|
17.8%
|
| First-Time Freshmen |
3,165
|
3,196
|
3,309
|
3,445
|
3,578
|
13.1%
|
| Public 4-Year |
8,045
|
8,131
|
8,443
|
8,790
|
9,120
|
13.4%
|
| Public 2-Year |
7,033
|
7,125
|
7,420
|
7,755
|
8,048
|
14.4%
|
| Private 4-Year |
5,455
|
5,521
|
5,757
|
6,003
|
6,223
|
14.1%
|
To read the full article: http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2014/02/28/us-projects-college-enrollment-grow-14-through-2022#ixzz2ueU8OkJZ 